The Earnings Boom Is Here

The outstanding fourth-quarter earnings season we had in 2020 is a tough act to follow, but 2021’s first quarter has the makings of another potentially great earnings season.

Treasury Yields Are Rising. Now What?

Treasury yields started moving sharply higher this past month (remember that as yields go up, prices go down). And while the upward march began in earnest last August when the 10-Year Treasury yield bottomed at an all-time low rate of 0.50% based on closing prices, the past week we saw the 10-year break through the 1.25% threshold and touch 1.35%, a new high for the year.

Market Policy Projections for 2021

Democratic control of Congress may not impact 2021 policy as much as many believe. The biggest changes may be around taxes, regulation, and stimulus prospects. With the elections behind us, 2021 policy is coming into focus.

10 Economic Lessons from 2020

2020 was a unique year, from the longest economic expansion ever to the shortest recession on record. Stock markets are forward-looking, and they want clarity on elections, too. Above all else, 2020 showed our ability to persevere.

Three Fed Takeaways from an Extraordinary Year

2020 was an extraordinary year for the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed responded swiftly and decisively to rapidly accelerating financial and economic uncertainty. The current Fed was helped by precedents and policies created during the 2008-09 recession, but also went beyond them to address the specific economic needs of the current crisis.