Headwinds to Global Growth: An Economy of Two Halves

The team at LPL Research reduced U.S. and global GDP forecasts due to Russian commodity disruptions, elevated inflation dynamics, and higher borrowing costs. Still, we expect the U.S. economy to grow 2.7-3.2% in 2022, supported by business investment and consumer services spending in the latter half of this year.

Outlook 2022: Passing the Baton

Fiscal and monetary policy played big roles in the economic recovery in 2021, but we see 2022 playing out as a handoff—from stimulus bridging a pandemic recovery to an economy growing firmly on its own.

Thoughts on Friday’s Treasury Market Rally

Financial markets tend to be relatively quiet the day after Thanksgiving but this year was a notable exception. With the news that a new COVID-19 variant—Omicron—had been discovered and is spreading quickly, prices of risk assets fell and safe-haven assets rallied on Friday.

Federal Reserve Meeting Recap

The Federal Reserve ended its two-day meeting yesterday and, as expected, there were no changes to current interest rate or bond purchasing policies. However, the Fed continues to prepare the market for a reduction of bond purchases soon to begin.