Outlook for U.S. Economy Continues to Brighten
When we wrote the annual outlook last November, the data was mixed. Some metrics hinted at emerging cracks in the economy while others suggested the growth trajectory in capital markets …
What’s Actually Different This Time?
The historic shutdown and reopening of the economy continues to torque financial markets and analyst expectations.
Midyear Outlook 2023: The Path Toward Stability
Now that we are beyond the midpoint of the investing year, it is a great time to look at where we have been—in preparation for the latter half of the year.
Draining the Lifeblood of the Economy: The Small Business Sector
In this edition of the Weekly Market Commentary, we discuss the weakness in small businesses and what that foreshadows in the markets and the economy.
6 Things to Know About Stocks and Recessions
Yesterday, the Federal Reserve released the minutes from its March Federal Open Market Committee meeting. In the section summarizing staff projections, to the surprise of some, the staff explicitly forecasted a recession.
Midyear Outlook 2022: Navigating Turbulence
We may not be flying into a storm, but there’s been plenty of turbulence this year. How businesses, households, and central banks steer through the rough air will set the tone for markets over the second half of 2022.
The Second Half: Constructive on Equities, But Not Complacent
While we acknowledge that a V-shaped recovery is probably not in the cards, we remain constructive on equities for the second half, but not complacent.
4 Important Takeaways from the Fed’s 0.75% Hike
The Federal Reserve concluded its two day policy meeting yesterday and announced it was raising its benchmark rate by 0.75%. Here are four observations about yesterday’s rate hike.
The Economy Is Slowing But Not Shrinking
Many pundits are issuing recession warnings and saying the economy is heading for a hard landing. Amid the cacophony of voices, we think the economy is slowing just like central bankers want but not shrinking.
Headwinds to Global Growth: An Economy of Two Halves
The team at LPL Research reduced U.S. and global GDP forecasts due to Russian commodity disruptions, elevated inflation dynamics, and higher borrowing costs. Still, we expect the U.S. economy to grow 2.7-3.2% in 2022, supported by business investment and consumer services spending in the latter half of this year.